empty
08.03.2023 11:44 PM
Imports of goods to the U.S. are steadily increasing

The U.S. trade deficit grew to the widest in three months at the start of the year, thanks to a strong pickup in imports of merchandise.

U.S. merchandise imports are rising moderately

The opening of China and the abandonment of quarantine measures around the world have led to a recovery in supply chains. This has not slowed the volume of shipments to developed countries. The U.S., like European countries, has significantly increased shipments of finished and semi-finished goods to the country.

The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a $68.7 billion gap, up 1.6% from a month earlier in January.

Probably, the reason for that is buoyant exports, including energy exports to European countries, as many months of the dollar's decline also helped stimulate purchases of goods by U.S. manufacturers. Inflation-adjusted exports of consumer goods, automobiles and parts reached record levels, and the real value of shipments of capital goods overseas was the highest since March 2019. Overall, the U.S. shipped more goods in January compared to December 2022.

The increase in exports is noted for the first time since August 2022. At the same time, it took place in almost all industries. Pharmaceutical and other consumer segments, capital equipment, and automobiles were notable.

At the same time, so-called "travel exports," that is, the amount travelers spend in the U.S., fell to $12.1 billion, while travel imports, a measure of the number of trips Americans make abroad, rose to $11.9 billion, a record gap. Apparently, the weak dollar has so far provided little incentive for foreigners to visit America.

As a result, the value of imports rose 3%, to $325.8 billion, while exports rose to $257.5 billion. Net exports are expected to add about 0.6 percentage point to growth in the first quarter. This exceeds fourth-quarter trade growth, but not as much as the import component.

The stable domestic economy and the "commodity hunger" of earlier periods helped support import demand. In addition, reduced shipping congestion and the normalization of global supply chains have generally helped trade between the U.S. and other countries. For example, the U.S. merchandise trade deficit with China, unadjusted, widened to $25.2 billion from $23.5 billion.

Despite the growth of commodity transactions, economists give restrained forecasts, expecting the "commodity hunger" to soon be saturated and demand to fall due to rising prices.

This is indirectly evidenced by an adjustment for inflation. While the nominal merchandise trade deficit narrowed slightly, January's adjusted merchandise deficit widened to $101.8 billion, also the largest in three months. There are nuances here, however.

Indeed, the drop in demand now looming this summer may reduce inflationary pressures. However, rising wages have the potential to stimulate demand for both goods and services. Given the "cheap wages" effect, where inflation quickly eats away at savings, the public tends to invest in real estate and, with little savings, in durable goods. Demand for goods is likely to remain at a fairly high level, preventing the import component in the U.S. balance of trade from declining. Buoyant demand, in turn, will keep the dollar from falling too much. But it will be a negative factor for the economies of developing countries.

Egor Danilov,
Experto analítico de InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Seleccione el marco de tiempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
día
1
s.
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

Trump vuelve a influir en Wall Street: la reacción de los índices no se hizo esperar

Los comentarios de Trump sobre China provocan una negociación inestable en el mercado Ulta Beauty sube tras elevar su previsión de beneficios anuales El Dow subió un 0,1%, el S&P

09:00 2025-06-02 UTC+2

Tormenta bursátil: Nvidia se dispara, el Dow cae y el tribunal anula los aranceles de Trump

Las acciones de Nvidia subieron un 5% tras el cierre; las acciones de Dick's Sporting Goods aumentaron tras superar las expectativas del primer trimestre El tribunal de comercio

11:01 2025-05-29 UTC+2

Juicio contra Trump: los aranceles fueron declarados ilegales. ¿Qué significa todo esto para los mercados?

Un fallo judicial inesperado y toda la arquitectura de la política arancelaria de Donald Trump comenzó a desmoronarse como un castillo de naipes. El Tribunal de Comercio Internacional

Аlena Ivannitskaya 11:00 2025-05-29 UTC+2

«El efecto Nvidia»: ¿aguantarán los mercados la última ola de presión?

Los resultados de Nvidia se publicarán el miércoles, los últimos de los ingresos de los "Magnificent 7". Donald Trump y los mercados europeos han vuelto al punto de partida

11:08 2025-05-26 UTC+2

La tecnología en auge: Snowflake y Alphabet brillan mientras cae el sector solar

Dow y S&P 500 terminaron la jornada sin cambios, mientras que el Nasdaq subió un 0,28%. Snowflake se disparó. Alphabet alcanzó su nivel más alto en casi tres meses

11:26 2025-05-23 UTC+2

Israel, Irán y el barril del miedo: el petróleo vuelve a subir

Durante la sesión asiática del miércoles por la mañana, el petróleo subió repentinamente un 1,5% gracias a las noticias procedentes de Oriente Medio. Las sospechas de un posible ataque

Natalia Andreeva 11:03 2025-05-21 UTC+2

El Bitcoin no teme los problemas de calificación crediticia de EE. UU. y sigue apuntando al alza. Los índices S&P 500 y Nasdaq100 también

La primera criptomoneda intenta mantener un nivel alto, aunque no siempre lo consigue. No obstante, el Bitcoin casi se ha consolidado en una posición de liderazgo, a pesar

Larisa Kolesnikova 11:03 2025-05-21 UTC+2

El dólar sin futuro: la venta masiva apenas comienza

Hasta hace poco, el dólar parecía intocable: el ancla mundial, el refugio monetario, la última palabra en confianza global. Pero hoy cada vez se escucha más otra retórica: sobrevaloración, agotamiento

Аlena Ivannitskaya 08:22 2025-05-20 UTC+2

Bitcoin: qué esperar esta semana. ¿Se mantendrá el récord con la subida hasta los $107 000?

A la primera criptomoneda le toca mantener sus posiciones, aunque a veces le resulta difícil. En este momento, el BTC ha salido adelante, por lo que la tarea de conservar

Larisa Kolesnikova 14:34 2025-05-19 UTC+2

El consumidor estadounidense pierde impulso: lo que dicen Target y Lowe's

En la próxima semana, Wall Street centrará su atención en los informes de las principales cadenas minoristas de EE. UU., que ayudarán a evaluar cómo afectan a la economía

12:39 2025-05-19 UTC+2
¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.