Forex Analysis & Reviews: 18.04.2025 - Why Are Markets Frozen and...

Live Chat

Equipe InstaForex Loprais - Participante oficial do rali Dakar

This section features the most important information about trading with InstaForex. We provide both analysis from leading experts for experienced traders and articles on trading conditions for beginners. Our services will help increase your profit potential.

Become Trader

Abertura de Conta

Veja também

Condições de Negociações

Análise Forex

Gráficos

This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.

Start as Beginner

Como começar a negociar

Informação útil

Training and recordings

InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.

Become Investor

Sistema PAMM

Sistema ForexCopy

Investimentos passivos

Contas OYS

Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.

Become Partner

Página Principal

Área do Parceiro

Vantagens para Afiliados

Registro

This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.

All Promo Campaigns

Bonuses

Concursos

Eventos

Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.

Full details

Fórums

Estamos nas redes sociais

Humor Forex

Portal Forex

InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.

Learn More

História

Porque nos escolher

InstaSport

Regulamentação

Notícias da Empresa

Premiações

Estrelas da InstaForex

InstaForex Offline

Headquarters

Principais documentos

Responsabilidade Social

InstaForex - Parceiro oficial do Dragon Racing

18.04.2025 09:00 AM

Why Are Markets Frozen and What Are They Waiting For? (There is a possibility of continued Bitcoin and Ethereum consolidation in sideways ranges)

Today is Good Friday, a day Christians observe worldwide across all denominations. Market activity has noticeably decreased ahead of the Easter holiday, but this isn't the main reason for market participants' current behavior. Let's take a closer look.

The main theme of the trade war has gradually shifted to mutual demands and threats between China and the United States. In essence, the two sides have reached a stalemate. Neither is willing to make concessions, but it seems they will eventually have to seek a compromise. Investors know this, which explains the wait-and-see stance dominating the markets.

Market sentiment has turned mixed by the end of the week, with trade negotiations remaining in focus. Trump announced "major progress" in trade talks with Japan, reaffirming his desire to strike a deal with China. Concerns about tariffs and fresh critical comments from the U.S. president toward Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—including calls for rate cuts—have only added more uncertainty. On one hand, market participants understand that neither Beijing nor Washington wants to damage their national economies. On the other hand, tensions haven't yet reached their peak. Once a mutually acceptable agreement is reached, strong (and likely positive) market movements should follow.

So why have markets practically frozen?

The answer is straightforward: markets are likely anticipating a trade agreement between the U.S. and China rather than the start of a full-scale conflict. And that agreement could materialize once both parties have finished showcasing their "strength." In this scenario, aggressively pushing asset prices lower is risky—short positions could turn into significant losses. But given the current uncertainty and the unresolved nature of the confrontation, it's also too early and risky to buy. Still, I believe some participants are already quietly accumulating stocks and commodity assets, hoping for a near-term market reversal. In my view, this is a reasonable and justified strategy.

What can we expect today in the markets?

Low activity is likely to persist ahead of Easter. As reflected in the ICE index, the U.S. dollar is expected to consolidate slightly above the 99.00 mark. Major cryptocurrencies are likely to continue trading within narrow, sideways ranges. Gold's rally may pause due to the high likelihood of a U.S.-China agreement—which, if announced, would likely cause gold prices to drop below the $3000 per ounce level. Crude oil, which has seen significant gains amid tensions surrounding Iran, could extend its rally, though that may not happen until the start of next week.

Overall, I remain optimistic about the market outlook. A swift U.S.-China compromise would dramatically shift the landscape across global markets.

Daily Forecasts:

Bitcoin

The token is consolidating within the 83,024.25–86,045.15 range. A downward correction to the lower boundary is possible, offering a potential buying opportunity with a target rebound toward 86,045.15. The entry level to consider for buying is around 83,201.95.

Ethereum

Ethereum is also consolidating within the 1,560.25–1,663.70 range. It may rise toward the upper boundary of this range. 1,594.18 is a potential buy level to watch.

You have already liked this post today

*A análise de mercado aqui postada destina-se a aumentar o seu conhecimento, mas não dar instruções para fazer uma negociação.

Se você tiver alguma dúvida sobre conteúdo, por favor, entre em contato com editorial-board@instaforex.com

Fundamental analysis

Mais artigos deste autor

Inscrição do e-mail

EURUSD

Euro vs US Dollar

Selecionar intervalo de tempo

min

hora

horas

dia

Comece a negociar

Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.

Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.