empty
18.04.2025 06:51 AM
What to Pay Attention to on April 18? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports:

This image is no longer relevant

There are no macroeconomic events scheduled for Friday—not in the US, the Eurozone, Germany, or the UK. Therefore, even if the market were paying any attention to the macroeconomic backdrop, it simply doesn't exist today. The market continues to trade solely based on the "Trump factor." At the same time, the British pound can continue to rise without any apparent reason or justification.

Analysis of Fundamental Events:

This image is no longer relevant

There is still little point in discussing any fundamental events besides Trump's trade war. The dollar may continue to fall indefinitely if Trump keeps introducing new tariffs or raising existing ones. We recommend that traders pay close attention to public statements from key officials of major countries and alliances regarding tariffs. For example, the European Union has made minor progress in negotiations with the Trump administration. However, this "minor progress" is hardly enough to support the US dollar.

Trump himself has announced plans to introduce tariffs on semiconductors, which affect many countries around the world. The trade standoff with China remains unresolved, and it continues to be the market's top priority. In addition, Trump is once again pressuring the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, even threatening to fire Jerome Powell—despite lacking the authority to do so. On Wednesday evening, the Fed Chair stated that lowering rates would require concrete macroeconomic justification, which is currently absent.

General Conclusions:

Both currency pairs may move in either direction on the week's final trading day. As we can see, the British pound is steadily climbing, while the euro is stuck in a flat range. The only potential source of news today is the White House. If no new developments emerge from Trump, the overall behavior of both currency pairs is unlikely to change.

Key Rules for the Trading System:

  1. Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.
  2. False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.
  3. Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.
  4. Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.
  5. MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.
  6. Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.
  7. Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15–20 pips in the desired direction.

Key Chart Elements:

Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders.

Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading.

MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals.

Important speeches and reports, which are consistently featured in the news calendar, can significantly influence the movement of a currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is advisable to trade with caution or consider exiting the market to avoid potential sharp price reversals against the prior trend.

Beginners in the Forex market should understand that not every transaction will be profitable. Developing a clear trading strategy and practicing effective money management are crucial for achieving long-term success in trading.

Paolo Greco,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Selecionar intervalo de tempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
dia
1
s.
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

XAU/USD. Análise e previsão

Os preços do ouro seguem uma trajetória positiva após uma queda intradiária para o nível de US$ 3.275-3.274. A demanda renovada por ativos considerados porto seguro é impulsionada por riscos

Irina Yanina 20:57 2025-05-09 UTC+2

O BoE está preocupado com a economia

Monitoro regularmente três bancos centrais, cada um representando abordagens quase opostas em relação à política monetária. Na quinta-feira, o Banco da Inglaterra reduziu as taxas de juros, citando preocupações

Chin Zhao 18:17 2025-05-09 UTC+2

Os mercados abrirão os olhos e fecharão os ouvidos

É melhor comprar ações agora mesmo! Graças à política comercial da Casa Branca, os EUA vão atrair US$ 10 trilhões em investimentos. Este país será como um foguete subindo direto."

Marek Petkovich 17:45 2025-05-09 UTC+2

Os EUA e o Reino Unido assinam um acordo comercial

A libra esterlina recuou após a divulgação da notícia de que os Estados Unidos e o Reino Unido assinaram um acordo comercial. No entanto, há diversas nuances que ainda precisam

Jakub Novak 17:36 2025-05-09 UTC+2

Todos começaram a acreditar em Trump novamente?

O dólar americano retomou sua trajetória de alta, enquanto diversos ativos de risco sofreram quedas acentuadas após o presidente dos EUA, Donald Trump, declarar que espera avanços significativos nas próximas

Jakub Novak 17:22 2025-05-09 UTC+2

A União Europeia prepara novas tarifas contra os Estados Unidos

Foi revelado que a União Europeia planeja impor tarifas adicionais sobre exportações dos Estados Unidos no valor de €95 bilhões, caso as atuais negociações comerciais com a administração do presidente

Jakub Novak 17:08 2025-05-09 UTC+2

DXY: O dólar mantém a esperança de uma recuperação

Hoje, o Índice Dólar dos EUA (DXY), que mede o desempenho do dólar em relação a uma cesta de moedas principais, encontra-se em uma fase de consolidação altista após atingir

Irina Yanina 14:27 2025-05-09 UTC+2

O Banco da Inglaterra está pronto para reduzir as taxas

Espera-se que o Banco da Inglaterra corte as taxas de juros em 0,25 ponto percentual hoje e sinalize que uma nova redução é provável em junho. Isso pode colocar

Jakub Novak 17:18 2025-05-08 UTC+2

O mercado se recuperará por conta própria.

O Fed já não é mais o centro do universo financeiro, e a valorização de 13% do S&P 500 em relação às mínimas de abril encareceu ainda mais as ações

Marek Petkovich 15:57 2025-05-08 UTC+2

Por que o ouro caiu drasticamente após a reunião do Fed?

O ouro teve um leve aumento após a reunião do Federal Reserve, na qual as taxas de juros foram mantidas inalteradas e o presidente do Fed, Jerome Powell, declarou

Jakub Novak 15:45 2025-05-08 UTC+2
Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.