empty
07.07.2025 07:09 PM
XAU/USD. Geopolitical Risks May Provide Additional Support to the Safe-Haven Precious Metal

This image is no longer relevant

Today, gold is displaying an intraday bearish tone despite rebounding from the $3300 level. Strengthening demand for the US dollar remains the primary factor pressuring gold, limiting its upward movement.

At the same time, expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year are curbing the aggressiveness of dollar bulls, thereby offering support to gold and limiting the dollar's potential for significant strengthening.

This image is no longer relevant

Another factor restraining dollar growth is concern that the Trump administration's large-scale tax cuts and spending bill could worsen the US's long-term debt problems. Market sentiment remains volatile amid uncertainty surrounding President Trump's trade policy, prompting increased investor caution.

Early Monday morning, President Trump announced on his social media accounts that US letters regarding tariffs or agreements with various countries would be delivered starting at 12:00 PM on July 7. He also warned that any country supporting the anti-American policy of BRICS would face an additional 10% tariff with no exceptions.

Amid these statements, traders are pricing in over a 70% chance of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, with expectations of at least two 25-basis-point cuts by year-end. These expectations are preventing gold from falling below the $3300 per ounce level.

In addition, renewed Israeli strikes on Yemen, ongoing for nearly a month, are reducing risk appetite and supporting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, limiting further downside in its price.

Nevertheless, from a technical standpoint, oscillators on the daily chart have begun to show negative momentum, which suggests the potential for further decline in the precious metal.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $4000 more!
    In July we raffle $4000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

What to Pay Attention to on July 31? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

A relatively large number of macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Thursday, but only a few of them are of significant importance. Unemployment rates will be published in Germany

Paolo Greco 07:40 2025-07-31 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – July 31: The U.S. Inflation Spiral Begins to Unwind

On Wednesday, the GBP/USD currency pair made only a minimal upward retracement, and for most of the day, trading was dull and calm. As we predicted on Wednesday morning

Paolo Greco 04:29 2025-07-31 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – July 31: Is the EU–U.S. Agreement a Fiction?

The EUR/USD currency pair maintained its bearish bias on Wednesday. We will discuss all the day's macroeconomic reports in our other articles; this article focuses on the key event

Paolo Greco 04:29 2025-07-31 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations and Trade Breakdown for GBP/USD on July 31: The Pound Fails Under Pressure Again

The GBP/USD currency pair also continued its downward movement on Wednesday, for the same reasons as the EUR/USD pair. The U.S. economy grew by a full 3% in the second

Paolo Greco 04:29 2025-07-31 UTC+2

How Long Will the Euro Keep Falling?

The answer to this question lies in the news backdrop, Donald Trump's trade policy, overall U.S. policy, and the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates. I completely understand many

Chin Zhao 00:42 2025-07-31 UTC+2

Kiwi Turns Southward

As we previously noted, to confidently forecast the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) actions at its upcoming August meeting, two key reports were needed — on inflation

Kuvat Raharjo 00:42 2025-07-31 UTC+2

The Dollar Returns to Divergence

Donald Trump's tariffs are already starting to bite. The eurozone narrowly avoided stagnation, while the German economy contracted by 0.1% in the second quarter due to U.S. protectionist policies

Marek Petkovich 00:42 2025-07-31 UTC+2

Gold Avoids Doomsday

For gold enthusiasts, the glass is always half full. When asked why the precious metal hasn't yet surged to $4,000 per ounce, they turn the question around: why hasn't

Marek Petkovich 00:42 2025-07-31 UTC+2

The Fed Will Maintain Its Wait-and-See Approach

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave its current monetary policy settings unchanged at today's meeting. As a result, there is little intrigue surrounding the decision. No updates

Chin Zhao 21:09 2025-07-30 UTC+2

USD/CAD. Analysis and Forecast

On Wednesday, the USD/CAD pair enters a phase of bullish consolidation, fluctuating just below the five-week high reached the day before. Traders are holding off on aggressive positions ahead

Irina Yanina 12:49 2025-07-30 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.