empty
12.06.2025 09:10 AM
Trump Threatens Tariffs Again – Markets React

President Donald Trump announced yesterday that he intends to send letters to trade partners within the next one to two weeks outlining unilateral tariff rates. This is ahead of the July 9 deadline, when higher duties are set to be reintroduced against dozens of economies.

"In about a week and a half or two, we'll send letters to countries and tell them what the deal is," Trump told reporters on Wednesday at the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts in Washington, where he attended a performance. "At some point, we'll just send the letters. You can accept it or reject it," he added.

This image is no longer relevant

This statement immediately sparked concern and uncertainty across global financial markets. Trump's decision is seen as a risky move that could escalate trade wars and inflict severe damage on the global economy. Unilateral tariffs are typically viewed as an aggressive pressure tool that may provoke retaliatory measures from trading partners, leading to higher prices for consumers, reduced investment, and slower economic growth. Trump has repeatedly shifted tariff deadlines, and July 9 is the latest.

Supporters of this approach argue that tariffs are an effective means of protecting domestic industries and jobs. They believe the threat of high duties will force trading partners to make concessions and agree to more favorable trade deals with the U.S.

However, it remains unclear whether Trump will follow through. He has a history of setting two-week deadlines that either pass without action or are delayed. For example, on May 16, Trump stated he would announce tariff rates within 2–3 weeks. In April, he introduced new duties for dozens of countries but suspended them for 90 days after markets plunged and investors feared a global recession. Despite ongoing negotiations, the only trade framework the U.S. has reached is with the UK and a tariff truce with China.

Even that truce with China is now under threat after Washington and Beijing accused each other of failing to comply with terms. This led to extended negotiations in London this week on how to implement the agreement.

Earlier Wednesday, Trump said the framework with China is finalized and will allow Beijing to export rare earth metals and magnets, while the U.S. will let Chinese students study in American colleges and universities.

When asked whether he would extend the deadline for countries to strike a deal before higher tariffs take effect, Trump replied that he is open to the idea but added:

"I don't think we'll need to."

Trump initially planned to negotiate with each partner individually but abandoned that idea due to limited capacity. Instead, he prioritized talks with key economic partners. His team is currently working on bilateral deals with India, Japan, South Korea, and the European Union.

Also on Wednesday, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said the EU will likely be one of the last agreements finalized, expressing disappointment over negotiations with the 27-member bloc.

Technical Outlook for EUR/USD

Currently, buyers need to break above the 1.1530 level. Only then will it be possible to aim for a test of 1.1570. From there, the price may reach 1.1625, although this will be difficult without support from large players. The ultimate bullish target is at 1.1655. If the instrument declines, only around 1.1490 do we expect significant buying interest. If that fails, a drop to 1.1450 or even 1.1410 could be necessary to attract buyers.

Technical Outlook for GBP/USD

For GBP buyers, the key is to break above resistance at 1.3590. Only then can the price target 1.3615, beyond which upward movement becomes more difficult. The most optimistic target is 1.3650. In case of a decline, bears will aim to take control at 1.3560. A break below this level could seriously damage bullish positions, pushing the pair down to 1.3530 with a chance to reach 1.3505.

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Pavel Vlasov
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $4000 more!
    In July we raffle $4000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

On Monday, the Japanese yen is struggling to capitalize on a modest correction amid a weaker US dollar. Sunday's elections to Japan's upper house of parliament put strong pressure

Irina Yanina 19:43 2025-07-21 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

At the start of the European session on Monday, gold showed a positive tone, but the price continues to trade within a multi-week range. The US dollar, retreating from

Irina Yanina 19:36 2025-07-21 UTC+2

Bitcoin gathering strength for leap

FOMO — the fear of missing out — has been the main driver behind the BTC/USD rally. Regardless of how much is said about the US passing crypto-friendly legislation, capital

Marek Petkovich 13:27 2025-07-21 UTC+2

NZD/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Trade-related uncertainty continues to call for caution among traders with a bullish bias. At the start of the European session, the NZD/USD pair partially recovered its intraday losses. However

Irina Yanina 12:40 2025-07-21 UTC+2

Gold Resumes Its Uptrend

Gold rose at the opening of the Asian session on Monday as traders evaluated differing views among U.S. Federal Reserve officials on how President Donald Trump's tariff policy might affect

Jakub Novak 12:03 2025-07-21 UTC+2

No Consensus on Interest Rates Within the Federal Reserve

Judging by recent comments from several Federal Reserve officials, the committee has yet to reach a consensus on interest rate policy. While some members continue to stress the need

Jakub Novak 12:01 2025-07-21 UTC+2

The Euro May Get a Chance to Rise

Traders preparing for the upcoming European Central Bank meeting this Thursday, which will focus on setting interest rates, should also pay close attention to numerous economic reports this week

Jakub Novak 11:59 2025-07-21 UTC+2

Good news already priced in?

Not long ago, Donald Trump could send Wall Street into turmoil with a single social media post. Now, he is threatening to fire the Fed chair and remove the firewall

Marek Petkovich 09:13 2025-07-21 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on July 21? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are no macroeconomic reports scheduled for Monday. Therefore, weak market movements can be expected. Of course, Donald Trump could unexpectedly return to the spotlight at any moment with

Paolo Greco 04:01 2025-07-21 UTC+2

EUR/USD Weekly Preview: Tariff Saga, ECB Meeting, PMI and IFO Indices

The penultimate week of July lies ahead. We will learn the outcome of the next European Central Bank meeting as well as the July figures of key macroeconomic indicators. Additionally

Irina Manzenko 00:07 2025-07-21 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.