empty
12.06.2025 12:35 AM
Donald Trump Plans to Suppress the Uprising

This image is no longer relevant

For several consecutive days, protests and unrest have continued in some major U.S. cities, sparked by Donald Trump's new immigration policy. This time, the U.S. President has decided to deport all illegal immigrants. Legally, Trump is absolutely within his rights to do so. However, this turn of events has not been well received by Americans residing in the U.S.—legally or illegally. Many of Trump's decisions are viewed by the public as highly controversial. For instance, the White House leader plans to significantly cut social programs while import tariffs could raise consumer prices. This will especially hit low-income individuals the hardest—those same people Trump also aims to deprive of medical assistance programs. And since, in any country, low-income groups outnumber middle- and high-income citizens, it's no surprise that crowds have taken to the streets.

The White House responded by deploying National Guard troops and the Marine Corps to suppress the protests, which led to numerous clashes, riots, and even the burning of American flags. The situation has become especially tense in Los Angeles, a city historically home to many immigrants. California Governor Gavin Newsom called Trump's actions illegal and anti-democratic. According to him, the clashes and unrest were provoked by immigration officers conducting street raids to identify illegal immigrants. He stated that people have the right to express their opinions and protest, and he intends to file a lawsuit against the sitting president.

This image is no longer relevant

However, Trump believes the current events may qualify as a "rebellion," allowing him to invoke the Insurrection Act, which permits regular military forces to suppress civil disorder. Meanwhile, the protests and demonstrations are spreading to other cities. The "uprising fever" is rapidly intensifying, and protests against Trump's immigration policy are expected soon in all major U.S. cities. One wonders—will Trump actually deploy the military against his own people, who in part put him in office? Remember that a nation's army is meant to protect the country and its citizens. But Trump doesn't seem to care who he fights with. In my opinion, the U.S. dollar remains extremely vulnerable.

Wave Pattern for EUR/USD

Based on the conducted analysis, I conclude that the EUR/USD instrument continues forming an upward wave segment. In the near future, the wave structure will entirely depend on the news background related to Trump's decisions and U.S. foreign policy. Wave 3 of the upward segment is still in progress, and its targets may extend up to the 1.25 mark. Therefore, I consider long positions with targets above the 1.1572 level, corresponding to 423.6% on the Fibonacci scale and beyond. It's important to remember that a de-escalation of the trade war could reverse the upward trend—but at the moment, there are no signs of reversal or de-escalation.

This image is no longer relevant

Wave Pattern for GBP/USD

The wave structure of the GBP/USD instrument has changed. We are now dealing with an upward, impulsive wave segment. Unfortunately, under Trump, the markets may face many more shocks and reversals that defy wave analysis and all forms of technical forecasting. Nonetheless, the current working scenario remains relevant. Wave 3 of the upward trend continues to build, with the nearest target at 1.3708, corresponding to 200.0% on the Fibonacci scale from the assumed global Wave 2. Therefore, I continue to consider buying, as the market has yet to show signs of reversing the trend.

Core Principles of My Analysis

  1. Wave structures must be simple and clear. Complex structures are hard to trade and often shift.
  2. If there's no confidence in the market, it's better to stay out.
  3. There is never 100% certainty in market direction. Always use protective Stop Loss orders.
  4. Wave analysis can be combined with other forms of analysis and trading strategies.
Chin Zhao,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Alexander Dneprovskiy
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

GBP/USD Overview – July 15: U.S. Budget Turns Surplus — What's Next?

The GBP/USD currency pair continued to trade lower on Monday, despite the lack of any strong fundamental reasons for such a move. Of course, one can always find or even

Paolo Greco 03:58 2025-07-15 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – July 15: No Agreement Signed with the EU. Mexico Gets Caught in the Crossfire

The EUR/USD currency pair traded very calmly throughout Monday, as the market continued to ignore Trump's tariff hikes. If the euro remains flat while the British pound is actively falling

Paolo Greco 03:58 2025-07-15 UTC+2

The Budget Is Now in Surplus, but the National Debt Isn't Falling

Last Friday, the U.S. Treasury Department announced the first budget surplus since 2017. Many in the market may have interpreted this as great news for the dollar

Chin Zhao 00:48 2025-07-15 UTC+2

European Commission Counts on Negotiations – the Euro Is in No Hurry to Decline

Trade negotiations between the EU and the U.S. remain in the spotlight, and their outcome is expected to have the greatest impact on the future trajectory of the euro. From

Kuvat Raharjo 00:48 2025-07-15 UTC+2

EUR/USD: Will Trump Fire Powell?

Will Donald Trump remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from office? It's not a hypothetical question. On the surface, the answer seems obvious — "no." Following the U.S. Supreme Court's

Irina Manzenko 00:48 2025-07-15 UTC+2

The Dollar Demands a Resignation

The Powell Effect —much like the butterfly effect—is real. Markets are already betting on a sharp easing of monetary policy immediately after the Federal Reserve Chair steps down

Marek Petkovich 00:48 2025-07-15 UTC+2

UR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

On Monday, the EUR/USD pair dropped to a two-week low, but no significant sell-off followed, and during the early European session, the pair held above the 1.1650 level. The weakening

Irina Yanina 19:05 2025-07-14 UTC+2

EU Prepares to Retaliate

Over the weekend, it was revealed that the United States will impose 30% tariffs on all goods from the European Union starting August 1. In response, the EU is preparing

Jakub Novak 11:21 2025-07-14 UTC+2

Trump Continues to Pressure U.S. Trade Partners (Potential Resumption of USD/JPY and Ethereum Growth)

The United States, through its president, continues to exert economic—and arguably geopolitical—pressure on its trade partners, which is having a ricochet effect on global trade and financial markets. But, oddly

Pati Gani 10:00 2025-07-14 UTC+2

Do Markets Like Tariffs?

Everyone sees what they want to see. For Donald Trump, the S&P 500 rally to record highs is proof that the market likes tariffs. For investors, it's a sign

Marek Petkovich 09:06 2025-07-14 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.