empty
30.05.2025 04:24 PM
Crypto investors still overwhelmed by optimism

This image is no longer relevant

Despite the ongoing correction, investor sentiment toward buying crypto assets remains positive, as indicated by the so-called Fear & Greed Index, which, as we noted earlier, is still in the "Greed" zone.

Fundamental risks — including political uncertainty, rising debt, and unstable yields — still affect market sentiment.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market is undergoing a correction. Bitcoin's price dropped today to $104,500, its lowest level since May 20. That's nearly 14% below the all-time high of around $119,000, reached last week.

This image is no longer relevant

The total crypto market capitalization fell to $3.285 trillion today — a 0.29% decline from the previous day. The altcoin market cap, excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, currently stands at $254.25 billion.

This image is no longer relevant

Nevertheless, the Fear & Greed Index, although it dropped from 74 to 60 out of 100, remains in the Greed zone. Market participants have slightly reduced their appetite for crypto purchases, while some major altcoins have shifted into a medium-term bearish zone.

This image is no longer relevant

Economists and crypto analysts attribute the current price dynamics to several factors. Aside from profit-taking after last week's strong rally, the movement may also reflect tempered expectations regarding aggressive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Cryptocurrencies, like stocks, are considered high-risk assets. At times, the correlation between Bitcoin (BTC) and the S&P 500 index has exceeded 80% — despite Bitcoin being a single digital asset and the S&P 500 representing 500 of the largest US companies by market cap. Commonly, BTC moves in the same direction as the S&P 500, only with greater volatility.

In a scenario of tighter monetary policy by the Federal Reserve and rising interest rates, the US dollar usually strengthens, while stock markets tend to undergo deep downward corrections.

As is known, the minutes from the latest Fed meeting were released on Wednesday. The FOMC's May meeting minutes emphasized that most participants are concerned about persistent inflation coupled with a potential slowdown in employment. This combination signals the risk of stagflation and supports the Fed's wait-and-see approach.

Key takeaways:

* The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at 4.25%.

* The statement noted "tough choices" between managing inflation and employment.

* The Committee remains cautious, awaiting clearer data on the economic impact of tariffs.

This increases the likelihood that rates will remain elevated, strengthening the US dollar and exerting downward pressure on US equities — and, by extension, on crypto assets.

Investors have now reduced their expectations to just one or two rate cuts by the Fed before the end of the year. This remains a bearish factor for cryptocurrencies.

That said, the overall positive attitude toward crypto purchases persists, as evidenced by the Fear & Greed Index, which remains in the Greed zone, as we previously mentioned.

If today's PCE Index release disappoints dollar bulls, we may see a continuation of the USDX downtrend that began earlier this year — signaling further dollar weakness, as anticipated in our fundamental analysis and outlook titled "Dollar: Ready to Dive."

Investor sentiment in the crypto space remains optimistic, and next week could see a resumption of growth among leading digital assets — if US macro data scheduled for release comes in weak and negative for the dollar.

Jurij Tolin,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Jurij Tolin
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Litecoin is attempting to test its nearest resistance level, Friday, July 11, 2025.

Litecoin, Friday, July 11, 2025. Litecoin managed to break through and close above its pivot level. Although there is potential for a correction, positive fundamental factors provide an opportunity

Arief Makmur 08:00 2025-07-11 UTC+2

Trading tips for crypto market on July 10 (North American session)

Bitcoin and Ethereum traded higher today during the European session, which indicates that yesterday's purchases were not a one-time event and that buyers are still active in the market. This

Miroslaw Bawulski 16:25 2025-07-10 UTC+2

Crypto market shows extremely low volatility

Bitcoin volatility has dropped to a historic low, while Bitcoin itself is trading within 2% of its all-time high. The lack of willingness to buy at current prices could become

Jakub Novak 13:46 2025-07-09 UTC+2

Crypto market resilient despite dollar volatility

BTC/USD is rising again today after yesterday's dip, overall maintaining its bullish momentum. Fundamentally, conditions continue to support BTC/USD growth in the medium term. The global economic and market landscape

Jurij Tolin 14:14 2025-07-08 UTC+2

Japan's digital bank by Metaplanet

While Bitcoin stubbornly refuses to decline, fueled by massive demand from ETF funds, the Japanese firm Metaplanet is planning to use its Bitcoin reserves to create the first digital bank

Jakub Novak 13:46 2025-07-08 UTC+2

Trading tips for crypto market on July 8

Both Bitcoin and Ethereum remain on a sound footing, poised to continue a bullish trend. As long as BTC continues trading above the $105,000 mark, the odds of further growth

Miroslaw Bawulski 12:16 2025-07-08 UTC+2

Clarity act on digital asset market gains support

Bitcoin and Ethereum have returned to the channels in which they spent most of last week. While Bitcoin has yet to break above the $109,000 mark, the prospects

Jakub Novak 11:00 2025-07-08 UTC+2

Elon Musk's America party advocates for Bitcoin and digital assets

The recently formed political party, America Party led by Elon Musk, will support Bitcoin. This was announced by the Tesla CEO himself on social media. "Fiat is hopeless

Jakub Novak 15:31 2025-07-07 UTC+2

Bitcoin will test its Support.1 after successfully breaking through and closing below the Uptrendline intraday chart, Friday, July 4, 2024.

Bitcoin – Friday, July 4, 2025. With an inflow into the Bitcoin ETF around USD$ 50 billion, it shows strong interest from investors, thus strengthening the legitimacy of this cryptocurrency

Arief Makmur 07:58 2025-07-04 UTC+2

Ripple has the potential to correct and weaken down to the Support level of 2.1924, Friday, July 4, 2025.

Ripple – Friday, July 4, 2025 Friendly regulatory pressure and the case with the SEC that seems to be stopped and open interest in the derivatives market that has jumped

Arief Makmur 07:58 2025-07-04 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.