empty
17.04.2025 12:00 PM
XAU/USD: Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Gold is undergoing a corrective pullback today as traders take profits following its recent surge to a new all-time high. This decline, although moderate, is driven by several factors, including improved risk sentiment supported by renewed optimism over U.S. trade negotiations and a strengthening U.S. dollar.

This image is no longer relevant

Profit-taking is placing additional downward pressure on gold prices. March retail sales in the U.S. surged by 1.4%—the highest monthly gain in two years. This upbeat figure, which exceeded market expectations and followed a revised 0.2% increase in the previous month, points to a recovery in consumer demand.

However, as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell noted, the central bank does not plan to lower interest rates anytime soon due to potential inflationary pressures linked to current tariff policies. This outlook presents further headwinds for gold's continued rally.

Nonetheless, the U.S.-China trade war remains a key concern. Escalating tariffs and new export restrictions—such as licensing requirements on rare earth metals and semiconductor chips—continue to inject uncertainty into the global market, which in turn sustains demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.

Investors should also pay attention to today's U.S. economic data, including weekly jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, due during the U.S. trading session. These figures could provide traders with fresh opportunities to adjust their strategies in a shifting market landscape.

From a technical standpoint, current overbought conditions reflected in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggest the need for consolidation or a pullback. This creates an opportunity for new bullish positions—particularly if the price holds steady near the key $3,300 level. However, a break below this threshold could trigger deeper losses.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.