empty
08.02.2024 05:43 PM
Bitcoin consolidated above $44k: has the bullish rally resumed?

Bitcoin has been in a consolidation phase for the past week and a half, with the price locked within a narrow range of $40.5k–$43.4k. During this period, price changes fluctuated around 1%, and trading activity did not exceed $25 billion. Meanwhile, various categories of investors continued to actively accumulate BTC coins, but there was no clear confidence in the cryptocurrency's bullish prospects.

This image is no longer relevant

We considered two scenarios for Bitcoin's development, and as of February 8, the asset approached the realization of the bullish scenario. The cryptocurrency consolidated above $44k and continues to rise towards the $44.5k level. Trading volumes and buyer activity on the asset's network significantly increased, indicating the potential for continued growth. However, it is premature to claim that Bitcoin has fully resumed a bullish rally.

Bullish Scenario

Recall that the bullish scenario for Bitcoin involves the cryptocurrency resuming its upward movement to the $45k level after a local correction. Near this mark, the 0.618 Fibonacci level passes, which is a key resistance zone and, at the same time, the final zone for corrective movement in the long term. To eliminate the probability of a repeat decline and a retest of the shoulders level at $40.5k, the asset needs to break through $45k.

This image is no longer relevant

As of writing, Bitcoin is trading near the $44.5k level, with daily trading volumes around $24 billion. It is worth noting that trading volumes remain low, while the number of unique addresses on the BTC network continues to grow, which is a positive signal. Bitcoin is gradually approaching the broad accumulation zone of $44.5k–$45k, where a local pullback may occur.

This image is no longer relevant

On the 4-hour chart, the stochastic oscillator has entered the overbought zone, indicating the prospect of a cryptocurrency price pullback in the near future. Among the potential levels for a local correction, $43.9k and $43.4k can be highlighted. However, Bitcoin doesn't need to undergo a local correction immediately after the start of the rally, but resistance from sellers will increase. Therefore, fundamental macro factors may play a crucial role in the upcoming retest of $45k.

Fundamental Background

Moderate optimism is gradually returning to the cryptocurrency market, as well as to other financial markets. Investors still hope that the Federal Reserve System will begin easing monetary policy before the second half of 2024. As the Fed meeting has just concluded, and inflation data will be released next week, traders will be monitoring labor market indicators.

This image is no longer relevant

Conclusion

Bitcoin has emerged from a state of dormancy, and the cryptocurrency market has entered an active phase of upward movement. In the context of the global situation, this process occurs within the framework of a corrective movement, making it crucial for investors that Bitcoin consolidates above $45k. However, given the possibility of negative macroeconomic data, it is advisable to be prepared for a decline in BTC quotes. Considering that selling volumes remain high, this scenario also appears likely.

Artem Petrenko,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Artem Petrenko
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Bitcoin outpaces Amazon in terms of market cap

Bitcoin has reached a new all-time high near $122,000, surpassing Amazon in market capitalization. This event is undoubtedly a landmark moment in the history of cryptocurrencies and traditional finance

Jakub Novak 10:52 2025-07-14 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on July 14

Bitcoin hit another all-time high above $122,000, continuing its winning streak. Ethereum has also strengthened and is trading above $3,000, but has not yet reached the all-time high. Bitcoin's rally

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:53 2025-07-14 UTC+2

Bitcoin Forecast for July 14, 2025

Bitcoin Bitcoin is showing extreme boldness amid the general market sentiment of risk aversion. However, if such sentiment continues, the upper limit of Bitcoin's growth also becomes visible — 125,190

Laurie Bailey 05:31 2025-07-14 UTC+2

Litecoin is attempting to test its nearest resistance level, Friday, July 11, 2025.

Litecoin, Friday, July 11, 2025. Litecoin managed to break through and close above its pivot level. Although there is potential for a correction, positive fundamental factors provide an opportunity

Arief Makmur 08:00 2025-07-11 UTC+2

Trading tips for crypto market on July 10 (North American session)

Bitcoin and Ethereum traded higher today during the European session, which indicates that yesterday's purchases were not a one-time event and that buyers are still active in the market. This

Miroslaw Bawulski 16:25 2025-07-10 UTC+2

Crypto market shows extremely low volatility

Bitcoin volatility has dropped to a historic low, while Bitcoin itself is trading within 2% of its all-time high. The lack of willingness to buy at current prices could become

Jakub Novak 13:46 2025-07-09 UTC+2

Crypto market resilient despite dollar volatility

BTC/USD is rising again today after yesterday's dip, overall maintaining its bullish momentum. Fundamentally, conditions continue to support BTC/USD growth in the medium term. The global economic and market landscape

Jurij Tolin 14:14 2025-07-08 UTC+2

Japan's digital bank by Metaplanet

While Bitcoin stubbornly refuses to decline, fueled by massive demand from ETF funds, the Japanese firm Metaplanet is planning to use its Bitcoin reserves to create the first digital bank

Jakub Novak 13:46 2025-07-08 UTC+2

Trading tips for crypto market on July 8

Both Bitcoin and Ethereum remain on a sound footing, poised to continue a bullish trend. As long as BTC continues trading above the $105,000 mark, the odds of further growth

Miroslaw Bawulski 12:16 2025-07-08 UTC+2

Clarity act on digital asset market gains support

Bitcoin and Ethereum have returned to the channels in which they spent most of last week. While Bitcoin has yet to break above the $109,000 mark, the prospects

Jakub Novak 11:00 2025-07-08 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.