empty
01.02.2023 03:04 PM
What will happen to the world's economies?

This image is no longer relevant

In its economic outlook update on Tuesday, the International Monetary Fund said it forecasts global economic growth of 2.9% this year and a recovery to 3.1% in 2024. Although growth is expected to be below trend, economists do not see a recession on the horizon.

IMF Chief Economist Pierre Olivier Gourinchas said economic growth was surprisingly resilient in the third quarter of last year, thanks to strong labor markets, business investment, and excellent adjustment to Europe's energy crisis. Inflation has also shown improvement, and overall numbers are now declining in most countries, even if core inflation, which rules out more volatile energy and food prices, has yet to peak in many countries.

With inflationary pressures easing, China's reopening and a weaker U.S. dollar are easing the situation for emerging markets and developed countries.

An updated IMF forecast says emerging markets are projected to outperform developed economies. Analysts note that 9 out of 10 advanced economies are likely to slow down next year.

The U.S. economy is also expected to grow at a slower rate of 1.4% and by 1% in 2024 as the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy continues to weigh on the economy.

This image is no longer relevant

Europe, meanwhile, is projected to grow 0.7% this year and to 1.6% next year. The IMF said that the European Central Bank is just beginning a tightening cycle and the region's dependence on energy imports is creating problems for economic activity.

This image is no longer relevant

The IMF is more bullish on China as the government reopens its economy and lifts restrictive policies. Economists predict that China will grow by 5.2% this year and slow down by 4.5% in 2024.

Despite optimistic forecasts, economists warn that there are ongoing risks. Persistently high inflation, forcing central banks to continue aggressively raising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, threatening global stability and destabilizing food and energy markets, pose risks to their outlook.

"This time around, the global economic outlook hasn't worsened. That's good news, but not enough," Gourinchas said.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

推荐文章

GBP/JPY 分析與預測

對於日本央行下一步貨幣政策的未知數持續對日圓造成壓力。與此同時,對英國財政前景的擔憂以及日本央行和英國央行之間貨幣政策預期的分歧,讓樂觀的市場參與者採取謹慎的行動。

Irina Yanina 21:00 2025-09-22 UTC+2

比特幣的活力是否已經耗盡?

一步向前,兩步向後。比特幣從月度高點下跌,因市場重新評估美聯儲潛在降息範圍,並質疑對加密貨幣的需求是否足夠強勁。

Marek Petkovich 12:05 2025-09-22 UTC+2

市場看不到泡沫

無論出現多少警告信號,人們總是能找到新的理由相信美好時光可以永遠持續下去。當下,美國股市的遊戲規則已經清晰明瞭:標普500指數正創下歷史新高,自2025年初以來的上涨势头已讓市值增加了16萬億美元。

Marek Petkovich 12:03 2025-09-22 UTC+2

本週PCE指標將引起人們的關注(可能存在黃金價格和美元/瑞士法郎對價格持續走高的機會)

接下來的一周將充滿各種事件——包括重要經濟數據的發布,主要來自美國,以及具有影響力的中央銀行官員的講話,和瑞士國家銀行的最後貨幣政策決定。 這週將充滿事件,包含重要的經濟報告——特別是來自美國的——以及從主要中央銀行的演講和瑞士國家銀行的貨幣政策決定。

Pati Gani 11:30 2025-09-22 UTC+2

不要對歐洲央行官員抱太多期望

歐洲央行(ECB)官員正在採取觀望的態度,並急切地期待經濟預測的下一次發布。這些新預測很可能將有助於確定利率是否足夠低,以確保通脹率穩定在 2%。

Jakub Novak 11:02 2025-09-22 UTC+2

歐元/美元。分析與預測

今天是週一,EUR/USD貨幣對已經連續四天出現負面情緒,儘管它正在試圖反轉這一趨勢,目前在1.1730水平附近交易。該貨幣對的疲軟與美元繼續走強有關,這是受到上週美聯儲降息的影響。

Irina Yanina 07:54 2025-09-22 UTC+2

2025年9月22日GBP/USD概覽

在周五,英鎊/美元貨幣對持續下行,其跌勢比歐元/美元更為明顯。這讓我們立刻可以判斷,先開始下跌的是英鎊——它有具體的理由發生這樣的情況,而歐元僅僅是跟隨。

Paolo Greco 07:39 2025-09-22 UTC+2

2025年9月22日 歐元/美元概況

EUR/USD 貨幣對在整個星期五繼續下行走勢,而這一趨勢從星期三晚上開始。經過這2.5天,很難說歐元顯著貶值或美元大幅增強。

Paolo Greco 07:31 2025-09-22 UTC+2

美元/加元。分析與預測

週五,加元兌美元上漲,USD/CAD貨幣對停止了兩天的上漲趨勢,儘管美元走強以及加拿大零售銷售數據疲弱,仍縮小先前的盤中損失。撰寫本文時,該貨幣對交易價位為1.3772,從日內高點1.3825回落,因買家未能維持在1.3800這一重要心理關口之上。

Irina Yanina 21:08 2025-09-19 UTC+2

為什麼英鎊下跌,而歐元也受到牽連?

首先需要考慮波浪結構。是否顯示出趨勢反轉的跡象?答案很簡單——沒有。

Chin Zhao 20:51 2025-09-19 UTC+2
现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.